Well, in 2003 both Williams and Maclaren were very much better than they'd been in '02. Ferrari had only a marginal improvement, if any at all. That's why MS only just got the WDC last year.
If Maclaren and Williams are as much improved for 2004 over '03, and if Ferrari have managed to up their performance by a similar margin to what they did in '03, then Ferrari will be 3rd at best in the Constructors' championship. So MS will be 5th, unless Barrichello beats him too.
And that's without taking Renault into consideration; I suspect they'll be little better this year than last on account of abandoning their novel engine design just when it was gettting good. But if I'm wrong, we might see them ahead of Ferrari too.
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